John Wheeler: More cold and snow in February, but a switch to warm and dry may be coming

If the pattern does flip this summer to warm and dry, the timing would be very important.

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FARGO — Cold weather is coming later this week. In fact, the general pattern for February is starting to look much colder, with fewer fogs than we saw in January and much lower wind chills. It is not likely that the month will be entirely Arctic, but a few interjections of very cold air look likely. Cold winter patterns are also snowy more often than not, so we will likely be adding to the snow pack, something that has not happened during January.

Interestingly, most of the various analogs and connections to circulation patterns around the world point to a higher than average chance of a warm and dry summer. This kind of a major switch is by no means a certainty, but it would not be surprising to those familiar with long-range forecasting. If the pattern flips this summer to warm and dry, the timing would be very important. An early spring switch to dry weather would be a problem for agriculture.

Related Topics: WEATHER
John Wheeler is Chief Meteorologist for WDAY, a position he has had since May of 1985. Wheeler grew up in the South, in Louisiana and Alabama, and cites his family's move to the Midwest as important to developing his fascination with weather and climate. Wheeler lived in Wisconsin and Iowa as a teenager. He attended Iowa State University and achieved a B.S. degree in Meteorology in 1984. Wheeler worked about a year at WOI-TV in central Iowa before moving to Fargo and WDAY..
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